As we know, this weekend will probably not end in Japan. But what if he’s doing it?
This is a question that consumes a country prone to disasters before the widespread prediction of a disaster designed by one comic book, this Saturday.
Watashi Ga Mita Mirai, Mango Ryo Tatsuki about her supposed ability to see the future in dreams, was first released in 1999. She would disappear into uncertainty, but to mention the tsunami and the envelope that read “Major disaster in March 2011.” in March 2011 A few years later, when the strongest earthquake ever hit the Earth, it hit that month and caused the devastating tsunami and Fukushima dai-ici nuclear melting, some called the author as a prophet.
In 2021 it released an updated version, which included a new prediction of the 5th July 2025 catastrophe, including massive eruptions in the Philippine Sea, which will trigger tsunami striking Japan at three times height of 2011.
Obviously, such a disaster would be devastating at human level. But the comic already has an economic impact, with some tourists from Hong Kong and elsewhere in Asia avoiding trips for fear. Takahide Kiuchi, an executive economist at the Nomura Research Institute, estimates that 560 billion of economic damage could result if tourists remain far from this and other DOOM projections.
As July 5 is approaching, it becomes more about the domestic market; I was asked in bars and heard his mention in cafes. A series of hundreds of relatively small shocks from the southern island of Kyushhu has maintained a disaster in subtitles in the last two weeks. Manga has sold over 1 million copies, while another book from Tatsuki exceeds the charts.
In spite of progress in tectonic science, of course, an earthquake cannot be predicted. The Japanese meteorological agency brought social media to warn that “any such predictions should be considered unreliable”. But this message is confused by the fact that the agency and the government believe that the Harbingers of the Areaded Nankai Courquake can be detected. This resulted in a cool official announcement last year about the increased risk of disaster, estimated to kill up to 300,000 people.
This episode briefly had a lot of ground on the edge. The next day, the early warning of the Earth’s earthquake was launched, an automated signal that noticed an immediate large earthquake, brought directly to smartphones and trains. On Friday evening, who was sitting with colleagues in a busy bar, it was palpable because dozens of phones blocked the penetrating news of the earthquake! EARTHQUAKE! And we wondered if it was really over.
Nothing happened. Warning was a false alarm. There is something to say that people keep people on their feet: while the mercifully nankai quake did not intervene last year, the threat remains unchanged. Government warning has forced many people to prepare or replenish the supplies of disasters, with Japanese lack of rice partially accused of increasing the demand it caused. But caution changes quickly to satisfaction.
The idea that we can predict the future is an attractive, promising certainty in the uncertain world. This helps to overcome the litany of unsuccessful prophecies, since Nostradamus warnings in 1999 to Maya Doomsday theory in 2012. Some that proved true – they think the Japanese animated animated film from 1988 Akira that Tokyo will host the Olympic Games – are only examples of Biasu Survivor. We forget those who do not come, we remember only those who do it, probably including the 2011 Tatsuki link.
But as far as Japan is concerned, past predictions of destruction – such as the “hidden planet” of Nibiru, which came across Earth, or a supermassive black hole in the center of the galaxy causing chaos – are not a good comparison. A disaster that is not different to the one that Tatsuki describes can actually take place at any time – July 5 or every day before or after. According to government estimates for Nankai earthquakes, it is actually more likely than it does not happen in our lives.
However, even in Japan many of them are still surprised. Media focus on the main disasters, such as an earthquake that beats directly under the Tokius, can lure them elsewhere into a false sense of security. Few, including the operators of the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant, were sufficiently prepared for the coastal earthquake in 2011 – despite extensive records showing past disasters.
July 5, when nothing happens, huh? My estimate is that most will only shrug and continue, maybe a little embarrassed for believed it, or a little better prepared than it would otherwise be. People could turn on Tatsuki, which has already distanced themselves from the exact date. It may reappear with another forecast – or disappear back to unclear.
Regardless of the message we should prepare for a disaster is one we should listen to. Most likely the earthquake will not become 5th July. This is a warning we should note.
More of Bloomberg’s opinion:
Other predictions on the envelope, including the eruption of Mt. Fuji, they didn’t let go.
The exact day is questioned, while Tatsuki predicts July 2025.
I feel comfortable to write that because I probably won’t be alive, if the disaster happens, don’t say anything about the fact that learning, the future can be predicted, will support science as we know it.
This column reflects the author’s personal views and does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.
Georeid Reidy is a publicist of Bloomberg’s views covering Japan and Korea. Previously, Breaking led the news team in North Asia and was a representative of Tokyo.
This article was generated from an automated news agency without text modifications.
(Tattentranslate) japan disaster prediction
