Iran-Israel conflict: “A few minutes ago, the Zionist regime again focused on Natanze,” said the Iranian state media on Friday, hours after the escalation of tension after Israel Benjamin Netanyahu focused on nuclear places in Iran.
Israel 13th June launched air strikes against Iranian military goals and nuclear program, as well as focused on scientists and generals. The explosions were seen and heard in the capital, Tehran. According to Iranian State Television, the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard, Hossein Salami, was killed. Israel declared an emergency because of his “preventive strike”.
Live updates of conflict in Iran and Israel
Air strikes against the Iranian nuclear program and ballistically Missile locations restored the distance between two opponents, who risks that it has been spiraling into a wider conflict. According to Iranian state media, at least 78 people were killed and 329 others were injured in Israeli air strikes on Tehran.
The decades of old rivals of Iran and Israel often avoided a direct full blown war. The conflict between Israel and Iran has shaped the Middle East for decades. It was largely on a low boil, because both sides attacked each other – mostly quietly and in the Iranian case often proxy.
The escalation occurred after Israel was involved in the war with Hamas, the seizure of Gaza and Palestinians.
Why are Israel and Iranian enemies?
Israel and Iran were allies who began in the 1950s during the reign of the last Iranian monarch, Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, but the friendship suddenly ended in the Islamic Revolution in Iran in 1979.
New Iranian leaders demanded the destruction of Israel and condemned the Jewish state as an imperialist power in the Middle East. Iran also supported groups that regularly fight Israel, especially Hamas, Hezbollah and Houth Rebels.
Why is the nuclear problem central to Israel-Iran conflict?
Israeli hostility towards Iran is deeply rooted in its nuclear ambitions. Over the last decade, the Iranian nuclear program has proceeded significantly, with estimates indicating that Tehran is close to the production of sufficient nuclear material for up to ten atomic bombs, although the assembly of a functional weapon would require further months of development.
Iran insists that his nuclear activities are peaceful, but Israel and most of the international community remain skeptical, especially after the international atomic energy agency (IAEA) recently declared Iran, which for the first time in 20 years did not request their duties.
Israel considers Iran to be armed as a direct existential threat. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has repeatedly committed that it will prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons “one way or another”.
Can Israel effectively damage the Iranian nuclear program?
Israel’s main objective was Natonz Nuclear Enrichment Facility, responsible for the production of most Iranian nuclear fuel, including uranium class on the classroom. The central Natanz aims to disrupt Iran’s production of nuclear fuel and replace its time of weapons development.
However, Iranian nuclear infrastructure is extensive and increasingly enriched. For example, the Fordow, built deep inside the mountain to withstand air strikes, remains an important challenge to an effective focus.
The ragged and stubborn nature of Iranian nuclear places means that while Israeli strikes can cause serious damage, it is unlikely that Iranian nuclear abilities would completely destroy.
The full impact assessment may take days or weeks.
Historical precedents, such as cyber attack on Stuxnet 2010, show that sabotage can delay, but not eliminate Iranian nuclear progress, which then often continues with renewed vigor.
What does Israel risk when hitting Iranian nuclear foundations?
Israel’s decision to initiate extensive preventive strikes brings significant risks:
Escalation to a wider conflict
Iran promised a severe retaliation and killing the best military leaders, including the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Hossein Salami, represents an escalation of the grave.
Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei warned Israel to expect a “bitter and painful” fate. This could trigger a long -term and wider regional conflict involving Iranian militia and potentially draw in other powers.
International
The United States reportedly did not participate in strikes and pulled out diplomats from the region in anticipation of retaliation measures.
The Israeli one -sided event complicates diplomatic efforts, especially with ongoing nuclear negotiations between Iran and the USA.
The striking risk is undermined by Iran and the US and increases instability in the Middle East. Donald Trump published on Truth Social and urges Iran to sign a nuclear agreement on June 13 with us, and sought to “get worse”.
A limited long -term impact
If the damage to the Iran nuclear program delay only a year or two, Israel could undergo a disproportionate risk. The possibility that Iran accelerates its nuclear ambitions underground could ultimately be threatened.
Economic consequences
Israeli air strikes caused immediate volatility in global markets, while oil prices increased sharply due to fear of disruption in the Middle East, which further emphasized wider global shares.
How are the military abilities of Israel and Iran compare?
Israel has a significant technological and military advantage over Iran, largely due to extensive US support. It operates advanced weapons such as Lockheed Martin F-35 Stealth Fighter-A only country in the Middle East, which does so-it is generally believed that it has nuclear weapons, even if it remains officially unchanged.
On the other hand, the Iranian army relies on older aircraft, the development of indigenous weapons and missile supplies, including ballistic missiles and drones used in recent attacks.
The Iranian nuclear program has advanced with increasing reserves of highly enriched uranium, which could be quickly disrupted if Tehran chooses, even if they still have to handle the whole process.
The robust air defense of Israel, including Arrow and David’s suspension systems, captured 99% of Iranian missiles and drones in 2024, emphasizing that Iran was facing Israeli defense.
Iranian own rocket defense systems, such as the Russian S-300 and the local Arman system, are less tested for battles.
Both countries have cybernetics. Israel and the US are suspected of deploying stuxnet malware that disrupted Iranian nuclear enrichment ten years ago.
Meanwhile, Iran performs cyber operations from information wars to destructive attacks, including attempts to disrupt Israeli infrastructure such as water systems, reflecting the continuing hidden dimension of their conflict.
The effect of the conflict of Israel-iran on the oil
The oil jumped and the supplies slipped after Israel attacked the places of the Iranian nuclear program in a large escalation of tension in the Middle East. Gold Advanced.
Brent Crude gained 8.3% after up to 13% in the largest Intraday jump since March 2022. Futures S&P 500 dropped by 1.2% after the division of deeper losses. The US treasures have changed little, with a decree on a ten -year comment to 4.36%.
(Tagstotranslate) conflict Iran-israel
