New Delhi: Southwest Monsoon Season, which recorded 8% surplus in collisions for June-September, is experiencing a delayed withdrawal, said the main Indian meteorological department (IMD) MRUTYUNJAY MOHAPATRA. Looking forward, seasonal rainfall is most likely to be above normal (greater than 112% of the average period (LPA)) over the southern peninsula India.
The southwestern monsoon advanced to the southern Andaman sea and Nicobar Islands 13. May, almost nine days before the normal schedule. He arrived in Keraly 24 May before the usual date of the onset of 1 June and the whole country covered until 29 June before the normal date of 8 July.
“The withdrawal of monsoons began from Western Rajasthan on September, September, progressed by 3 days. However, it is currently stopped due to low pressure on certain parts of the country,” said Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, CEO of IMD meteorology during a virtual press conference.
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Monsoon usually starts withdrawal on September 17th and leaving the country by October 15.
According to IMD, a well -marked low -pressure area is present beyond the kutch and its surrounding areas. It is likely that in the next 12 hours it will move northwest across the Kutch and nearby areas and emerge to the northeastern Arabian Sea off the north coast of Gujarat. There is the possibility of reinforcement to depression at the time of its formation in the Northeast Arab Sea, and then the west-south-west movement towards the Northwest Arab Sea.
At the same time, it is likely that the cyclonic upper air circulation over the eastern central Gulf of Bengal will create another low -pressure system that can develop into depression by October 2.
Delay
Despite the stopped withdrawal, the monsoon season 2025 937.2 mm of precipitation – 108% of the diameter of 868.6 mm. This has been like the fifth highest since 2001 and 38. 38. The highest since 1901. Regional rainfall was very different: Northwest India recorded 127% of its LPA, while the eastern and northeast India received only 80%, which indicated the second lowest since 1901.
Good rainfall in most parts of the country reflects to increase the sowing kharif. According to official data, the Indian sowing area of crops has reached 111 million hectares since September 12, exceeding the normal area of 109.7 million hectares. In addition, the Paddy area reached 43.85 million hectares, which is 1.97% compared to the previous year. Similarly, the maize area increased by 12.5%to reach 9.48 million hectares.
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Looking forward, IMD said that seasonal precipitation from October to December above the southern peninsula India is most likely above normal (greater than 112% of the average period). During this period, most parts of the country are expected to have normal above normal precipitation, except many parts of Northwest India, some parts of the extreme southern peninsula India and northeastern India, where precipitation will probably be below normal. LPA precipitation above the southern Peninsula India during the monsoon season based on data from 1971 to 2020 is approximately 334.13 mm.
“It should be noted that although they may benefit from agriculture and water resources, it also brings increased risks, including floods, transportation of transport, public health problems and environmental impacts,” IMD clerk said. According to IMD, given these potential risks, predictive events may start for the season.
Season
Also, monthly rainfall above the ground as a whole during October will probably be above normal or greater than 115% of LPA. In October, most parts of the country are expected to have normal above normal precipitation. However, some areas in Northwest India, extreme south of the peninsula India and isolated pockets in northeastern India, may experience under normal precipitation.
October is expected to be wet than usual, with monthly rainfall likely to exceed 115% of LPA. Climatic models are currently designing neutral conditions El Niño-Southern oscilation (ENSO), but La Niña is developing during the monsoon season.
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