Picture only for representative purposes. | Photo Credit: Nirmal Harindran
The private weather agency Skymet Weather, predicts the “normal” monsoon from June to September. Monsoon rainfall will be 3% more than a long-term diameter of 868.6 mm rainfall (with an error span +/- 5%) in this period.
Rainfall in the 4% long -term diameter window is considered “normal”.
“La Nina (half a degree or more cooling of the central equator Pacific) was weak and short this season. The vital signs of La Nina started disappearing.” It is expected that the second half of the season will be better than in the first half, “he added.
La nina is usually associated with increased monsoon precipitation; The opposite applies to El nino.
Skymet said he expected “good rain” over western and southern India. The basic zone of the Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh monsoon rain would receive a “reasonable” precipitation. Excessive rainfall is probably all over Western Ghats, above Kerala, Coast Karnataka and Goa. The northeast area and hilly states of northern India are likely to experience less than normal precipitation during the season.
Degree precipitation, the first month of monsoon, will probably be 4% below what is usual. July and August, the most clarified of the monsoon months, would probably get 2% AO 8% more rain, or what is normal for each of these months. September would receive 4% more rains than usual, the agency predicted.
The meteorological department of India (IMD) is expected to announce its prediction of Monsoon’s performance later next week. In mid -May, IMD will also provide a more detailed break of its predictions on how the monsoon will emerge regionally.
In 2024, India ended with 8% more rains than usual in June to September.
Published – April 8, 2025 9:49
