
India’s decision to conclude an Indus waters into carrying a serious concern in Pakistan. On Monday, the Indus River System Authority (IRSA) Advisory Committee expressed serious concerns over a sudden reduction in the CHENAB tributary in Marala, attributed to reduced water release in India. This deficiency could lead to 21% water deficit in Pakistan during the early season kharif.
Suspension of contract and immediate fallout
India formally suspended the Indus Waters agreement from 1960 on April 24, 2025, while passing through Pahalgam’s terrorist attack in Jamm and Kashmir was killed by 26 people. This step stopped sharing data and project notification in Pakistan, with India claiming its right to fully use water resources from western rivers (Indus, Jhelum, Chenab).
Pakistan’s Agricultural Emerge
The Pakistanian Indus River System Authority (IRSA) warned 21% of the water lack of water during the early season Kharif (May – June) and 7% at the end of the kharif (June – September) and the aim of the Chenab River from India.
The influx of Chenab in the main heads of Marala dropped sharply and threatened irrigation of crops such as rice, cotton and corn critical for Pakistan’s food safety. IRSA attributed the deficit by reduced release of India from dams, including Baglihar and Salal.
“Indus River System Authority Advisory Committee (IAC) Review the Water Situation for the Reemaining Months of” Early Kharly ” Short Supply by India Would Result in More Shortages in Early Kharif Season, “The Indus River System Authority (IRSA) Statted in a Press Release.
Pakistan may face significant lack of water during the Kharif season due to reduced water supply from India.
The Kharif season refers to the monsoon crops in South Asia, usually running from June to October. The key crops grown during this season include rice, corn, millet and cotton that rely heavily on rainfall and irrigation.
“IAC declared a total lack of 21 percent for the remaining early season kharif in case the supply in the Chenab River remains normal. However, the situation would be monitored daily and if the decline continues the Chenab River, the shortcoming would be revised accordingly. Late kharif shortcomings is expected to be 7 percent, ”he added.
Water deficiency is a likely fall in the Indian decision to conclude an Indus Waters contract of 1960 in the non -act after the Pahalgam attack, which was attributed to Pakistan’s support for cross -border terrorism.
The dynamics of the contract and the wider consequences
Indus Waters allocates 80% of the Indus and 20% water to India. While India controls the Eastern Greeks (Ravi, Beas, Sutlej), its suspension of the contract allows unlimited use of western rivers for projects such as hydropower. Pakistan has committed that it will attack the transition at international level and call it a violation of bilateral agreements.
The attack in Pahalgam took place on April 22 on Baisaran Meadow, where terrorists target tourists, killed 25 Indian nationals and one Nepalese citizen and several others were injured.
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