Pakistan’s fate in this tournament is still not sealed – but the maths is tight. Here is exactly what they need.
Scenario 1: Bat first, win big
If Pakistan win the toss and decide to bat – or Sri Lanka send them in – winning alone will not be enough. They need to win convincingly. The required margin is measured with their sum:
- Score 103-150? They need to win by 63 runs or more
- Score 151-198? The margin rises to 64 runs or more
- Score 199-246? They need to win by 65 runs or more
In short, the bigger they score with the bat, the bigger they need to win — and there’s no room for a tight end.
Scenario 2: Bowl first, chase fast
This may be a more realistic route to qualification for Pakistan. If they bat first, their job is to keep Sri Lanka’s total well below par – and then chase it down to
stormy pace.
The critical limit is 12.4 overs. Any chase completed after this point will not be enough to push Pakistan’s clean run into the qualifiers. It doesn’t matter if they win – how quickly they win is everything.
