New Delhi: The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Tuesday that the southwestern monsoon is likely to arrive in Keraly over the next four to five days, much earlier than the typical start date of June 1.
IMD previously expected Monsoon to reach Keraly until May 27, with a model error plus/minus for four days.
The initial arrival would not only bring relief from burning heat, but also strengthen the sowing of bumper crops such as rice, corn, cotton, soy and other oily seeds.
“If this proceeds at the current pace and other conditions, it remains favorable, we expect that the conditions are likely to be favorable for the monsoon start in front of Keral over the next 4-5 days,” IMD official said.
Last year Monsoon arrived on the coast of Keraly 30. May. Previously, the state hit the 8th June (2023), 29 May (2022), 3 June (2021) and 1 June (2020).
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The southwest monsoon is vital to the Indian Agrarian economy, which represents almost 70% of annual rainfall and supports about 51% of the pure sown area of the country.
Early and normal monsoon predictions are expected to benefit kharif, improve tank levels and support the rabbi season. The view is positive for crops such as soy, tomatoes and onions, with squares that are likely to increase.
“Previous projections indicated the amount of normal precipitation (109% of the long period or LPA) for the current season. Early and adequate monsoon will provide much -needed support for the Indian agricultural economy,” said Sanjeev Asthana, President of the Association of Separate Extractors (SEA).
Monsoon advanced to some parts of the South Bay of Bengal, the Southern Andaman Sea, the Nicobar Islands and some parts of the Northern Andaman Sea on May 13, two days before the Plan
Conditions are also likely to become favorable for further progress of the southwestern monsoon in several parts of the South Arabian Sea, Maldives and Chamber; Some parts of the Lakshadweep area, Kerala, Tamil Nadu; Several other parts of Bengal in South & Central Bay, Northeast Bay of Bengal and some parts of the northeast states, IMD said.
On April 15, he stated that IMD is expected to receive India from June to September to September this year over a normal monsoon. Southwest monsoon seasonal rainfall as a whole during 2025 will most likely be above normal (more than 104% LPA). Seasonal precipitation above the ground as a whole will probably be 105% LPA with a model error plus/minus 5%. The LPA season of precipitation above the ground in 1971–2020 was 87 cm.
In this prognosis, banking set a record goal of food production of 354.64 million tonnes for 2025-26, which is 3.8% of 341.55 million tonnes for 2024-25. Higher production in crops, such as Paddy, wheat and maize, could help the government mitigate export limitation, which benefits farmers and traders.
Also read: In the graphs: How did IMD Monsoon Outlook lead against reality?
Meanwhile, IMD predicts heavy to very strong precipitation on the west coast, including Karnatak, Konkan, Goa, Keraly and the neighboring Peninsula India, in 20-26. May. On 20.-21. On May you can see extreme heavy rains in the north of Kerala 20 May and over the coastal and Ghat Karnataka regions.
Over the next three days, there are difficult to very strong rainfall with storms and lightning probably above the northeast India and the sub-himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim.
The thermal wave to the heavy wave conditions is probably above Rajasthan on 20-22. May, the weather said.
(Tagstotranslate) Monsoon 2025
