IPL 2026: RCB vs KKR in Raipur With 13 games left in the league, LSG and MI are already out of contention for the playoffs. GT and RCB have almost qualified while SRH would have to do really badly from now on to avoid the playoffs. PBKS also remain in a good position to get there. CSK and RR have a better chance of finishing in the top four in terms of points, albeit jointly. KKR and DC have really slim chances. With 8,192 possible combinations of results remaining, nothing is yet certain for any of the eight remaining teams in the race.
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IPL 2026: Has GT Revealed SRH’s Batting? Daniel Vettori gives an honest verdictLet’s look at the probabilities:
- GT has a 99.7% chance of finishing in the top four in points (including possible ties), and their chance of finishing first or second, individually or collectively, is an impressive 82.6%.
- With a win on Wednesday, RCB have a 99% chance of finishing in the top four on points and a 77.6% chance of being in the top two.
- SRH’s chances of finishing in the top four on points are 77% and they only have a 31.4% chance of finishing in the top two.
- PBKS’s chance of finishing in the top four in points is 63.6%, and the chance of finishing in the top two is only 22.2%.
- At 53.2%, CSK have a more than even chance of making the top four, but only a 19% chance of finishing in the top two.
- RR have a slightly lower 53% chance of finishing in the top four and only a 15.3% chance of capturing one of the top two slots.
- KKR’s already slim chances of making the last four have shrunk to just 2.6% after Wednesday’s loss and they can no longer compete for either of the top two slots.
- DC’s playoff hopes remain at a paltry 2.7%. They can finish third at best, with a tie between two to three other teams.
How we arrive at probabilities: There are 8,192 possible combinations of results and 13 matches remaining. For each team, we looked at how many of those combinations finished in the top four, either individually or in a tie. We also looked at how many combinations placed each team in the top two, either individually or collectively. For example, DC will finish in the top four in just 220 possible combinations of match results, which represents just a 2.7% chance of being in the top four – and that’s collectively, not individually.
