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India vs Pakistan in Colombo: Will it flip the script in favor of the underdogs?

February 14, 2026

Pakistan has long exported pace; India, vol. This was the oldest script of cricket. The Imrans, the Wasims and the Shoaibs threw lightning bolts that lit up the world, while the Prasannas, the Harbhajans and now the Kuldeeps spun webs with wrist and finger magic.

Of course, the lines were never absolute. Pakistan unleashed masters like Saqlain Mushtaq and Saeed Ajmal; India fired back with Kapil Dev, Zaheer Khan and Jasprit Bumrah. The size has exceeded the limit.

But this India vs Pakistan T20 World Cup 2026 clash flips the script. For once, buzz isn’t about blistering pace—it’s about spin. India rely on Kuldeep Yadav, Varun Chakravarthy, Axar Patel and Washington Sundar. Pakistan don’t counter Shaheen Afridi but Abrar Ahmed, Usman Tariq, Mohammad Nawaz and Shadab Khan. Varun Chakravathy vs Usman Tariq: A twisty battle awaits in IND vs PAK. (Photo: PTI, AP)

Pakistan’s gear box may have thinned, but they will arrive at the T20 World Cup armed a different kind of threat – a merry-go-round of merry-go-rounds who, like their fast bowling predecessors, are wily, crafty and impossible to ignore.

“It certainly looks like it could be spun to win in Colombo,” former India cricketer Deep Dasgupta told IndiaToday.in.

“Based on the two matches Pakistan have already played and the kind of combinations they have fielded, spin is expected to play a major role. Given the venue in Colombo and the nature of the pitch, it has the ingredients of a hotly contested match,” added Dasgupta.

WHO IS POPULAR IN COLOMBO?

Since that iconic night at the MCG in 2022, India have largely outnumbered Pakistan. Apart from the 2025 Asia Cup final, Pakistan have not seriously threatened internationally, such was the gulf between the sides.

And yet this time the certainty is gone. Former players, pundits, analysts and even fans are trying to make a call on how Colombo will develop.

Doubts stem from the conditions of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026. Asia Cup is a thing of the past, the new chapter of IND vs PAK has a stake in the World Cup. (PTI Photo)

While the broadcasters created hype around the race up to 300, the ICC slipped into silence. The pitches were lively and level, reviving the bat-to-ball contest.

India faltered against USA in the opening match and were dominated by Namibia in the middle overs. And Pakistan’s attack, at least on paper, is a clear step forward from what India has faced so far.

“It’s a 50-50 match. You can’t pick a favorite because this is their home ground. A lot will depend on how quickly India can get used to the conditions and dimensions of the pitch,” MSK Prasad told IndiaToday.in

Conditions are narrowing the gap. R. Premadasa Stadium, traditionally a surface that pinches and turns, also has huge square and straight boundaries. Mere force will not be enough here. And lack of discipline will be punished.

While Pakistan spent the tournament settled in Colombo, India are catching up. Pakistan have the luxury of local rhythm as they played their opening matches at the nearby Sinhalese Sports Club (SSC). Although the match moves to Premadasa on Sunday, the atmospheric familiarity belongs to Pakistan. On Friday, they trained at the venue of the match and have a play-off scheduled for Saturday afternoon.

In contrast, India has only one scheduled session on Saturday evening to decode the mysteries of Premadasa.

“Since Pakistan have already played a few matches in Colombo and understand the conditions better, it doesn’t necessarily give them an advantage, but it neutralizes the advantage that India might otherwise have,” Dasgupta said.

WHAT IS THE IDEAL TOTAL IN COLOMBO?

Sreevats Goswami believes that India’s all-out attack template may not translate to Premadasa. He told India Today that this surface required craft – the kind of pace control associated with Virat Kohli’s innings.

“It’s going to be a match where whoever runs harder will decide the winner. Ones and twos. It’s going to be a match where you need Virat Kohli’s innings, ones, twos and ones and then a boundary. You can play the way you played in the power over but after that you shouldn’t look at breaking the ball. You should focus more on running,” said Sreevat. Can the Indian batting put up its usual fiery show against Pakistan? (PTI Photo)

There is evidence to support this view. In the previous match at the venue, Zimbabwe stunned Australia.

Chasing 170, Australia were bowled out for 146 – the first time in T20 World Cup history that they have been bowled out by a team outside the top 10.

the captain of zimbabwe Sikandar Raza explained where Australia went wrong – and what might work in Colombo. Aiming for 200, he argued, is a trap. Discipline is the way.

“70 in 10 and we said we’re happy. Someone in the dressing room said 190 is on and I said no. Now when you’re looking for 190, it’s 140 all over. Just keep going at eights and nines and see what happens,” Raza said.

In Colombo, 170 could be gold. Greed can be deadly.

WILL USMAN TARIQ HURT INDIA?

India have faced most of Pakistan’s spinners before. In the Asia Cup final, Mohammad Nawaz and Abrar Ahmed played well without being decisive. Pakistan’s seamen, meanwhile, released the momentum in the crucial stages.

This time, Pakistan recalibrated. Haris Rauf was not included in the World Cup squad. The focus is on specialist spinners and spin-bowling all-rounders.

Usman Tariq is unknown for India – tournament breakout name. Tariq is already heralded as Pakistan’s best card against India. (Photo: PTI)

He troubled Australia before the World Cup, picking up three wickets in Pakistan’s opener. There was also talk around his event and a noticeable pause in his delivery. Sreevats Goswami publicly questioned whether he could bowl his faster ball and called for a review of his action.

But the reality is simpler: Usman will play. India has to solve it.

“You have to zen focus on the bowler’s loading point and his release point. It’s going to be difficult because he has different batting points. Indian batsmen shouldn’t think ahead. Balls on the back of the length, there’s not much bounce. So maybe the batsmen can crouch a bit lower to stay under the ball and get to batting height.”

Sreevats believes that shorter Indian batters may be better suited to his fight as they naturally have a lower base. He warned that taller players may struggle if Usman finds a rhythm.
Deep Dasgupta expanded on this tactical challenge.

“From such a release point, the ball is unlikely to bounce much, so it would be difficult for the batsmen to get under it and play big shots. Also, the venue – the R. Premadasa Stadium – is a large ground. The square boundaries are around 75 metres, the straight boundaries about 84 metres, and the mid-wicket and extra cover stretch to almost 88-89 metres, which is good for these big bowls.

However, Prasad does not foresee panic.

“I don’t think he (Usman Tariq) will be a problem. It depends on the pitch, the pitch. Otherwise, he will be treated like any other spinner after a few balls. I don’t see our batsmen struggling with their spinner.

“I’m sure they would have done their analysis, looked at the videos. They would have come up with a counter-strategy. There are a lot of performance analysts working behind the scenes, I’m sure they would have figured it out,” he said.

IND VS PAK: WHO PLAYS SPIN BETTER?

With both teams full of spin, the onus shifts to the batsmen.

India has shown that it can shift gears. Meanwhile, Pakistan faltered. They almost stumbled against the Netherlands, relying on late fixes. They scored 190 against USA but the key middle order batsmen struggled for fluency.

Pakistan also have the wrist-spin vulnerability offered by Kuldeep Yadav – a bowler who is not often imitated in the nets. By his side are Varun Chakravarthy, constantly fine-tuning his variations, and Axar Patel, relentlessly accurate. And if spin doesn’t get the job done, Jasprit Bumrah can. Will Suryakumar finally turn to Kuldeep for a showdown in Colombo? (PTI Photo)

Temperament is the real test. Can Pakistan’s batsmen stay calm long enough to build an innings? Can they resist the urge to force the game?
India, more often than not.

Even in and out of the day they tend to find their way to 150. That might be enough in Colombo.

“On the positive side, most of them play spin well. Surya, Tilak, Shivam, Hardik and Rinku are all strong spin players. Even Ishan has been around long enough to have the required experience.”

It will be challenging but the batting order has the ability and experience to adapt to the conditions,” said Dasgupta.

Colombo is not Delhi. It doesn’t reward the ego. It rewards calculation.

Pakistan may have a sharper spin attack. India boasts a deeper batting line-up. But in conditions like these, control is more important than reputation. Loose end. Twelve rash balls.

That’s all it can take.

It’s no longer like pace versus spin or emotion versus skill. It feels like restraint versus impulse.

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– The end

Issued by:

Debodinna Chakraborty

Published on:

February 14, 2026

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