
The center, which occurred above normal monsoon predictions, set a record goal of food production of 354.64 million tonnes per 2025-26.
It is 3.8% or 13 million tons more than 341.55 MT food target in 2024-25 and, if achieved, will be the good news for the Indian Agrarian economy, the demand of rural and inflation of food. With the expected increase in production of rice, wheat, corn and other cereals, this will also help the government to mitigate its ban on exports, which will then benefit farmers, traders and exporters.
“We Plan to Achieve Record Foodgrain Production Through Introduction of High Yielding Variety, Climate Resilient Seeds, Crop Diversification, Increased Area and Through Intervention of Better Technology and Agricultural Practics” Agriculture and Farmers Welfare and Rural Development, While Addressing Media at Indian Agricultural Research Institute (ICAR-OARI), New Delhi, On the Sidelines of the National Conference on Agriculture for Kharif 2025.
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Rice production is reflected in a record 147.35 million tonnes in 2025-26, compared to 136.30 MT in 2024-25. The sowing is expected to start this month. The wheat is reflected in a record 117.40 MT compared to 115 MT in 2024-25 and corn at 42.68 MT, compared to 40 MT in 2024-25.
However, the target for pulses is lower than the target in 2024-25-project at 26.47 MT in 2025-26 compared to 29.90 MT at 2024-25. This is mainly due to lower production than a goal in 2024-25. The real production was 23.02 Mt.
Similarly, the target for oil seeds is more or less the same as the target 2024-25 at 44.75 MT.
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“Although the offer is expected to improve year-on-year, we also expect that sentiments of demand will be better with picking up in rice exports,” said Pushhan Sharma, Director-Research, Crisil Intelligence.
Pushan, however, said that mandi prices for wheat are traded higher than the minimum support price, the government can consider it demanding to obtain wheat from farmers. Thus, export wheat limitation can continue.
Mint announced on May 2 that the Union’s government will consider renewing wheat products such as flour, half and wheat flour (ATTA), as the country is estimated to be 115.43 million tonnes this year.
The proposal may be admitted to the upcoming inter -Roroscopic meeting, which will have representatives of ministries, cooperation, consumer matters and food, agriculture and food processing, people said on condition of anonymity.
The government limited these exports in August 2022 after the decline in wheat production. These products have a strong consumer base in countries with large Indian diaspora, including the US, Great Britain, Persian Gulf nations and parts of Africa and Southeast Asia.
Due to the forecasts of the southwestern monsoon, 105% of the average period will hit, the conditions look good for the upcoming period Kharif and Rabi.
However, two things have to be monitored. The Indian Meteorological Department sees above 50% of probability associated with monsoon over 105%, with 26% likely to be above 110%. If the last time, according to Crisil Intelligence, it could be harmful to the yield of the crop.
In addition, the spatial and time division of the southwest monsoon will be watched
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The monsoon season is essential for India because it brings almost 70% of annual rainfall. Almost half of Indian arable land does not have access to irrigation and depends on these rains for growing crops such as rice, corn, stick, cotton and soy.
According to the Indian Department of Meteorology (IMD), India will probably receive this year above normal monsoon precipitation, which signals relief across sectors, especially in agriculture. “India is likely to see over normal rainfall in the four -month monsoon season (June to September), with cumulative rainfall estimated at 106% of LPA (87 cm),” said the CEO of the meteorological department of Mrututyunjay Mahapatra.
(Tagstotranslate) monsoon forecast