Strong rain in Kannura, Kerala, Tuesday (27 May 2025). | Photo Credit: SK Mohan
From June to September, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) retained the April forecast for “above normal” precipitation. He expects the Earth to see about 92 cm of rainfall (106% of the average period) during this southwestern monsoon season, slightly higher than 91.3 cm (105% of the average) collision in April.
In addition to the northeast and northwestern parts of the country, most India will receive a collision “above normal” collision. In June alone, the Earth is likely to receive at least 8% more than an average quota of 16.7 cm.
Monsoon came at the beginning of this year and reached Keraly on May 24th, a week before the normal date of June 1. No, because the 2009 monsoon was so early. In addition, the monsoon also proceeded to the bombi soon and violated a 35 -year -old record by reaching the city of 26 May, two weeks before the norm. Seasonal rains also proceeded faster than usual to many parts of Karnataka, Goa and Central Maharashtra.
At a press conference on Tuesday (May 27, 2025), IMD officials said that the confluence of the factors played a role in the “development of monsoon”, including before cyclonic circulation and optimal temperature on the Tibetan plateau, along with several other global factors.
Probably a slowdown
While more rains are expected for another four days in parts of Odisha and Central India, Monsoon “would not continue to come up” indefinitely, according to officials. “We cannot say that the monsoon will continue to speed up towards Delhi and Northern India. There will be slowing,” said IMD CEO M. Mohapatra. Normal date of arrival of monsoons to Delhi is the last June. However, even if the rains will not come soon, the overall strong monsoon means that the waves in the wave are unlikely that the region of the capital will devastate in June, Mohapatra added.
The Mahashtra Government Councils also warned farmers to wait a few days before the start of sowing.
Swathe Central India, Odisha and Part of Rajasthan-Basted “Basic Zone”, because its agriculture is almost completely fed by rain-you will probably get 6% more rain than usual.
Not a child
The main factor favorable to a good monsoon is the absence of El Nino, which is associated with the warming of the central equator of the Pacific Ocean and is also associated with weak monsoon precipitation for about 60% of years when it is in force.
If the IMD prognosis turns out to be accurate, it would be the second succus year “above normal” monsoon precipitation. Last year, India received 8% more than the historical average from June to September.
While all IMD forecasts have 4% mistakes, its forecast for this year’s southwestern monsoon could mean enough water for the crop kharif and improve storage in the reservoirs of the Earth. However, this can also mean episodes of intense rain and translate into devastating floods in parts of Earth.
Published – May 27, 2025 20:28
