New Delhi: The Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR) will evaluate the potential risk of crop rabbi from unusually cold conditions in the expectation of La Niña’s return, which is associated with hard winters.
Complex studies across different crops and regions assume importance as Rabi crops such as wheat and pulses are approximately 45% of the total Indian food production.
“We learned that this year we could have a colder winter than usual. So we would have conducted a comprehensive study of the impact of a colder period on various crops and different regions,” said ICAR CEO and Ministry of Agricultural Research and Education (Dare) Mint Mint.
The General Director of Meteorology at the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) Mrutyunjay Mohapatra said on Monday that the weather office will reveal a more definitive analysis by the end of October.
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Raby is an Indian winter trim that ranges from October to April. The crops will be sown in October December and harvested in March-Dubbn. The main crops include wheat, pulses, oil, coarse cereals and unpeeled. The total sowing of Rabi plants in 2024-25 was over 66.1 million hectares.
The Rabbi season ensures food safety for the large population by producing clamps such as wheat, impulses and oil seeds, and also contributes to the national economy through food and agricultural industries.
The impact of La Niña on winter crops is dependent on the region, but often brings increased precipitation and colder temperatures that can strengthen the soil moisture and replenish water sources for rabbi crops. However, excessive precipitation in the plains can cause waterlogging water, damage crops, delays of harvest and increase the risk of frost, especially in plains such as pandjab, hayana and Uttar Pradesh, said that a higher official associated with Krishi Vigian Kendra, an agricultural extension center acting as vital interconnection and ICAR.
Little girl
La Niña means a “girl” in Spanish. IMD describes this as “abnormal cooling of the ocean temperature in the Pacific Ocean equator.” It is often associated with colder than normal winters.
According to the IMD official, La Nina was the last event in India in 2020-21 and 2021-22 between December and January. However, it is difficult to quantify the loss due to La nina because productivity depends on various other factors.
In the years 2024-25, according to government third preliminary estimates, the country reached a record food production (Kharif and Rabi) of 354 million tonnes (MT). According to the Ministry of the Ministry of Agriculture, it was 21.6 MT higher than food production of 332 MT.
Among the main crops of Rabi, wheat commands the proportion of lion to more than 49% in the total crop area. In the 2024-25 season, the wheat was a sown of over 32.5 million hectares.
In recent years, agriculture has witnessed healthy growth. The output of agriculture, livestock, forestry and fishing increased on average 4.4% in FY25 in five years, while politicians dubbed above 4% of production growth as a new normal.
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“Wheat has the ability to tolerate a lower level of temperature, so we do not expect the impact of cold weather conditions. However, if the temperature remains for many days for many days during the flowering phase (towards January), then it may affect the crop,” said Ratan Tiwari, director of the ICAR-Indian Institute Wheat and Barley Research, Karnas, Karnas.
Wheat production was screened on a record 115.43 MT for the season 2024-25 Rabi, according to the Ministry of Agriculture by 2% since 2023-24. Increasing production was largely due to favorable weather and the absence of great damage to crops in natural calamities.
Part of the onset
IMD expects La Nina in some parts of the sea in three months until December. “It is likely that La Niña is developing this year – a promantive year. The announcement of the forecast in three months from October to December 2025 either September 30 or 1 October,” Mohapatra IMD said.
La Niña, usually associated with colder winters in India, is a phenomenon of climate, which is part of the El Niño-Southern Oscilation (ENSO) cycle. It refers to cooler than average sea surface temperatures in the middle and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean and can significantly affect the weather around the world.
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According to the National Weather Service climate, the transition from Enso -Nuutral to La Niña is probably in the next few months, with 71% chances to La Niña in October – December 2025.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) also predicted that the probability of La Niña conditions increased to approximately 60%slightly in October to December 2025.
(Tagstotranslate) rabi crops
