The new document in the Journal of Environmental Management (Elsevier) emphasized the need for strategies of adaptation strategies specific to the region and integrated water resource management in Keral to solve climate change problems.
Contribution, “warming climate modifies hydrological reactions in southern western ghats and west coastal plains (India): knowledge of simulations with variability of model interocarorizone phases of 6-variable infiltration capacity (CMIP6-VIC)” puts special emphasis on Kerala.
It finds that global warming could intensify the hydrological cycle across the study area, change precipitation and temperature formulas, increase the risk of floods, landslides and drought. Climate projections predict an increase in temperature anomalies and extreme precipitation events (EPE) during the monsoon season in the future. It is also assumed that the region is experiencing an ever -increasing minimum and maximum temperature over the 21st century on annual and seasonal steps below two shared socio -economic paths (SSP245 and SSP585).
It is believed that the region will experience up to 20 % of annual clotting, with EPS potentially increasing by up to 16 %, he says. Integrated water resource control is essential for ensuring sustainable availability of water, production of hydropower and productivity of agriculture, he says.
The study was conducted by a team from multiple institutions, including those who were under the Kerala State Council for Science, Technology and Environment (KSCSE), Indian Institutes of Technology (IIT) Delhi, Madras and Palakkad; National Institute of Technology, Warangal; Indian Institute of Human Settlements, Bengaluru, University of Mississippi, Pennsylvania State University and Purdue University.
The study was carried out by recognizing the need to assess specific to the region, especially in connection with recurrent catastrophes in Kerala, KP Sudheer, executive vice -president, KSCste and co -author of the contribution, Hindu said. Recently, Kerala has experienced the main disasters almost a year, including destructive floods in 2018 and 2019 and Wayanad 2024 Wayanad.
The contribution notes that the growing frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events (EPE) represent significant challenges for society engineers and planning, especially when designing climate -resistant infrastructure.
“It is necessary to perform a thorough assessment based on the scenario of potential future climate conditions to predict and alleviate unexpected consequences, including the increased risk of floods due to more frequent and serious EPS.
The Center for the Development and Management of Water Resources, Kozhikode and the Institute for Studies of Climate Change, Kottayam, were KSCste institutions involved in the study.
Published – April 23, 2025 17:02
