SP vs BJP: Who Will Win UP Elections 2027? Yogi Adityanath as CM again or Akhilesh Yadav gets the seat? The survey is out | Today’s news

Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath appears to have a strong lead over Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav ahead of the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections, with the News18 Mega Survey indicating a clear preference for the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP).

The survey found that 66.6% of respondents would vote for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) if parliamentary elections were held now. The Samajwadi Party-Congress alliance received 26.4% support, while the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) was supported by 5.4% of those polled.

Adityanath also emerged as the preferred choice for the Chief Minister post, securing the support of 66.2% of the respondents. Akhilesh Yadav was nominated by 24.4%. Moreover, 65.2% of the participants said that the BJP should get another term in the state.

The survey, conducted among 30,925 people in 75 districts of Uttar Pradesh, also looked at issues that could influence voters’ choices, including governance, employment, infrastructure and law and order.

What works in favor of Yogi Adityanath?

The performance of state administration in the area of ​​law and order received the strongest approval, with 74% of respondents expressing satisfaction. Infrastructure came second with 68.6%, followed by provision of welfare programs with 66.3%.

Read also | Yogi highlights achievements in education in Uttar Pradesh and focuses on the welfare of girls

Law and order also emerged as the most significant election issue, with 33.4% citing it as a key factor that could influence their vote. The question has particular resonance among supporters of the ruling alliance: 89.6% of current BJP/NDA voters approve of the government’s performance in this area.

Overall, 77.1% respondents said they were satisfied with the Yogi Adityanath government’s performance, while 13.5% expressed dissatisfaction.

Employment emerges as a problem

Despite a favorable rating on several governance indicators, employment remains an area of ​​concern for the state government. Of the seven examined parameters, it received the lowest satisfaction rating, with 58.3% of respondents approving the functioning of the government.

Read also | Yogi government suspends 5 UP officials due to delay in pending cases

The assessment of the unemployed was more critical, for whom satisfaction reached 50.7%. Landless and unskilled workers also reported relatively low levels of satisfaction, around 52-53%.

The survey examined public perceptions of law and order, infrastructure, social care provision, health care, education, corruption and employment.

How strongly do voters support BJP and SP-Congress?

The BJP appears to have retained a substantial portion of its previous electoral support. About 91% of respondents who recalled voting for the BJP in the 2022 and 2024 elections said they would support the party again.

Read also | Akhilesh Yadav on his way out of Pradhan

The SP-Congress alliance recorded a voter retention of around 83-85%. However, his current support was higher than respondents remembered voting patterns in previous elections: an increase of 3.7 percentage points compared to 2022 and 2.4 percentage points compared to 2024.

The survey also found strong support for the ruling alliance among its existing voters. In this group, 94.7% were satisfied with the performance of the state government and 93.3% preferred Adityanath as the next chief minister.

What do voters think about Ram Mandir donations?

The survey also sought respondents’ views on allegations of irregularities regarding donations to the Ram Mandir. About 31.2% held temple trust officials responsible for the alleged theft, while 20.6% pointed to employees or contractors. Another 13.7% blamed the state government.

He also addressed public opinion on the recent Gen-Z student protests, an issue that has come up in political discussions in the state.

What does the survey say about regional and urban-rural trends?

Ratings of government performance were broadly similar between urban and rural respondents, with no significant difference emerging among the seven governance indicators.

Ruhelkhand stood out among the state’s regions, recording the highest or near-highest levels of satisfaction in most parameters.

Survey methodology

News18 conducted the survey between September 17 and October 2, 2026, interviewing 30,925 people in all 75 districts of Uttar Pradesh. The sample was divided in proportion to the population of each district and included respondents from both urban and rural areas.

Interviews were conducted door-to-door through face-to-face interactions using computer-assisted personal interviewing (CAPI) and a structured questionnaire. The survey originally planned to cover 30,000 people.

With the parliamentary elections scheduled for January-February 2027, the findings at this stage suggest a significant advantage for the BJP. However, employment concerns and the improvement of the SP-Congress alliance over its recalled support from previous elections remain important aspects of the electoral picture.