Gujarat Titans surged to the second spot with a dominant 77-run win over Rajasthan Royals, significantly increasing their playoff chances to 72.52%. Shubman Gill and Sai Sudharsan played with the bat while Rashid Khan impressed with the ball. Despite the loss, Rajasthan Royals maintain a higher overall playoff probability due to their easier remaining schedule. Gujarat Titans strengthened their position in the IPL 2026 playoffs after an impressive 77-run victory over Rajasthan Royals in Jaipur, with projections showing the probability of GT qualification rising following a massive increase in Net Run Rate generated by the win.The latest win now gives Gujarat Titans a 72.52% chance of making the playoffs and a 38.71% chance of finishing in the top two after their biggest ever IPL win by runs. Shubman Gill’s 84, Sai Sudharsan’s 55 and Rashid Khan’s excellent 4/33 propelled GT to a dominant victory that took them to second place in the table and moved their Net Run Rate from -0.147 to +0.228.Meanwhile, Rajasthan Royals remain slightly ahead of Gujarat overall despite the defeat with 80.31% playoff probability and 44.07% top two probability.
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Cameron Green backs KKR’s playoff push, praises team culture and Finn AllenThis discrepancy is largely due to the remaining schedule. While GT still face Sunrisers Hyderabad, Kolkata Knight Riders and Chennai Super Kings in their final three league matches, Rajasthan’s remaining fixtures will see them face Delhi Capitals, Lucknow Super Giants and Mumbai Indians – all teams currently outside the top seven and showing significantly weaker playoff projections.
IPL 2026 Playoff Odds
Probability TeamPlayoffTop-Two ProbabilityAverage FinishSRH89.59%60.22%2.64PBKS84.81%53.25%2.65RR80.31%44.07%3.54RCB77.55%41.98%3.08GT72.52%38 0.71%4.25CSK38.81%12.62%5.45KKR5.23%0.06%7.11MI1.50%0.01%8.46LSG1.56%0.00%8.72DC0.00%0.00%9.08The result also produced minor shifts across the wider playoff race. Punjab Kings improved marginally to 84.81% while Sunrisers Hyderabad remained the strongest playoff favorites with 89.59%.Royal Challengers Bengaluru have held steady at 77.55%, with their massive +1.234 Net Run Rate continuing to provide one of the strongest safety cushions in the league despite recent inconsistency.Chennai Super Kings suffered a slight drop in projection after the GT win as one direct opponent effectively moved further down the order, leaving CSK at 38.81%.Kolkata Knight Riders remain distant outsiders at just 5.23%, while Mumbai Indians and Lucknow Super Giants continue to hover around the 1.5% mark, which realistically requires a near-perfect finish combined with a few collapses elsewhere.Delhi Capitals, meanwhile, have failed to qualify in any of the last 100,000 predicted simulations despite still remaining mathematically alive on paper.
IPL 2026 Remaining Fixtures: Predicted Winners
MatchFixtureProjected FavoriteMatch 53CSK vs LSGCSKMatch 54RCB vs MIRCBMatch 55PBKS vs DCPBKSMatch 56GT vs SRHGT (very close)Match 57RCB vs KKRRCCBMatch 58CSKPBKS vs MIRCPBG (with MIRCPBG) close)Match 60KKR vs GTGTMmatch 61PBKS vs RCBPBKS (very close)Match 62DC vs RRRRMatch 63CSK vs SRHSRHMatch 64RR vs LSGRRMatch 65KKR vs MIKKRMatch 66GTch vs CSKGGTMat vs PBKSPBKSMatch 69MI vs RRRRThe projections were generated using a simulation model that replayed the remaining league stage of IPL 2026 100,000 times using current points, Net Run Rate, recent form, remaining matches and weighted match win probabilities.
