Pakistan are set to boycott their group stage match against India in the T20 World Cup 2026, but the move could prove detrimental to their own campaign. Pakistan, who are scheduled to play all their matches in Sri Lanka, may also have to contend with unpredictable weather during the tournament.
The Saim Ayub-led side are scheduled to play four group stage matches in Sri Lanka, one of which they are already boycotting. Of the remaining three matches, two are expected to face possible rain interruptions, which could seriously damage their chances of qualifying for the next round.
The weather in Colombo has historically been unpredictable and if even one of these two matches were to fall through, Pakistan could be trailing not only in points but also in Net Run Rate. T20 World Cup: Pakistan play all their matches in Sri Lanka. (Photo: Reuters)
But how likely is rain during Pakistan matches?
According to AccuWeather, Pakistan’s opening match against the Netherlands could see an almost 64 percent chance of rain, mostly during the second half of the match. This could lead to no slack in the later stages, which could lead to washout. Chance of rain on Pakistan vs Netherlands match day
The two matches that have a zero percent chance of rain are the matches against the USA and India on February 10 and 15. Pakistan lost to USA at tricky Dallas in the previous edition of the tournament which played a major role in their early exit.
The Pakistan government has already announced its decision to boycott the February 15 match against India. However, no official written communication has yet been submitted to the International Cricket Council.
Pakistan’s final group stage match against Namibia has a 25 percent chance of rain, meaning the match is expected to take place with minimal disruption.
Weather in Colombo during Pakistan matches:
- February 7 vs. Netherlands: Chance of partial rain (64 percent)
- February 10 vs USA: No chance of rain
- February 15 vs India: Boycott
- February 18 vs Namibia: Low chance of rain (25 percent)
Pakistan’s biggest concern will be managing their Net Run Rate in the remaining matches, given their decision to boycott India. The unpredictability of rain could make this task much more difficult. Several matches were spoiled in Sri Lanka during the recently concluded Women’s ODI World Cup. (Photo: Reuters)
As for Pakistan, playing the match against India could have allowed them to remain relevant in terms of net run rate regardless of the result. On unpredictable pitches, Pakistan remain a dangerous side capable of troubling any opponent.
But without a match in India, Pakistan can forget about qualifying for the Super 8 in the tournament.
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Issued by:
Kingshuk Kusari
Published on:
February 4, 2026
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