Since the clock ticks on midnight Wednesday, the probability of the first stop of the US government is growing in nearly seven years. The partizan clash over health care and expenditure stiffened and left a small space for a compromise.
The Democrats demand extension of subsidies for available care that will expire at the end of the year, while President Donald Trump and Republicans insist on approval of the “net” bill on financing without concessions.
“It’s now in the hands of the President,” said the democratic leader of the Senate Chuck Schumer, warning that shutdown is increasingly likely if Trump does not change the course.
Factor 1: Stand -off Health Care
The core of the indebtedness is the struggle for tax loans of the affordable care law that subsidizes health insurance for millions of Americans. The Democrats claim that credits are essential to prevent a sharp sharp bonus, while the Republicans want to postpone the problem.
“We will not support the guerrilla Republican expenditure law, which will continue to occupy health care of everyday Americans,” said democratic leader Hake Jeffries.
Even the leader of the majority of the Senate John Thune acknowledged that some GOP members were open to expanding subsidies, but insisted that the democrats “kidnapping American people” by weighing it for government funding.
Factor 2: Political attitude and basic pressure
For democrats, provision without health care risks will from its base. The party activists have long urged the leaders to stand firmly against Trump. Some groups even demanded Schumer’s resignation at the beginning of this year after he helped to avert the shutdown.
Meanwhile, Republicans believe that voters will blame the democrats if the government closes. Vice -President JD sincerely predicted, “I think we were heading to shut down because the Democrats will not do the right thing.”
Factor 3: Trump’s resistance to compromise
Democrats and Republicans remain blocked over financing, each by a secondary shop for a dead end. Washington was preparing for the upcoming government weaning on Tuesday, while the Republicans and Democrats were still far from the agreement to maintain the funds for the midnight deadline. And Trump showed little interest in reducing the agreement. Before Monday’s White House meeting with congress leaders, he rejected the requirements of the Democrats directly: “Their thoughts are not very good.”
A few hours later, instead of signaling flexibility, Trump set the tension to publish a well -taught video of ridicule of Schumer and Jeffries. Jeffries replied, “Bigotry won’t get you anywhere.
The episode emphasized Trump’s combat approach and raised doubts about his willingness to strike at the last minute.
Factor 4: Mathematics of the Senate Against Fast Repair
Republicans have a majority of the Senate 53-47, but need 60 votes to overcome the democratic Filibuster. This means that at least eight democrats would have to cross the aisle. With GOP Senator Rand Paul, he promises to vote “no”, the span of error is even smaller.
The Democrats consider this to be a rare lever effect in the chamber in favor of them. As Senator Gary Peters (D-Mich.) Noted, “here can happen a lot in a short period of time”-but mathematics leaves the democrats a little motivation to retreat soon.
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Factor 5: The shutdown preparations are already underway
Federal agencies began to introduce emergency plans and sent announcements of potential furlings and cuts to employees. The White House’s budget office warned against “wide dismissal across the government” if the financing fails.
Trump’s budget director Russ Vought claimed that the resignation was prevented-but he blamed Democrats: “It’s hostage. It’s not something we accept.”
Growing chances of shutdown
The combination of rooted guerrilla positions, approaching health care, Trump’s unwillingness to negotiate, and the hard mathematics of the Senate pushed Washington closer to the financing delay.
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